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Turkish lira fell to new record low after CBRT’s shock 2% rate cut

The USDTRY rose over 2% in immediate reaction to CBRT’s surprise decision to cut rates by 200 basis points from 18% to 16%.
Most of economists were betting for 0.5% cut this time after the central bank cut rates by 1% last month.
The decision pushed lira to the new record low against US dollar, in the biggest one-day fall since mid-June.
Analysts think that the move is consistent with the view of President Erdogan, who has replaced the most of the bank’s top leadership this year and describe the latest CBRT actions as simply wrong, as the real economy is getting hurt by the currency.
Steep rally that commenced from June-Sep higher base, when larger bulls consolidated, is pressuring round-figure barrier at 9.50, with risk of extension towards Fibo projections at 9.6238 (161.8%) and 9.8700 (176.4%) with psychological 10.00 level coming in focus on strongly weakened sentiment.
Corrective dips on overbought daily / weekly studies are likely to be shallow and expected to provide better levels to join the uptrend.

Res: 9.5000; 9.6238; 9.8700; 10.0000
Sup: 9.3537; 9.3000; 9.2258; 9.1700