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EURUSD rises on NFP miss and trade war fears but key barriers still intact

The Euro bounced from dangerous territory (session low at 1.2215 is new five-week low) after US NFP data disappointed expectations, with dollar being additionally pressured by renewed fears of trade war escalation.
US President Trump announced a package of new tariffs late Thursday and China is ready to retaliate, which could worsen the situation.
Despite strong fall in new jobs in the US in March, increase in earnings is positive signal and could partially offset negative impact from NFP data.
On the other side, fresh tensions between two world biggest economies threaten of escalation which could put the greenback under increased pressure.
Today’s close will be strong indications for pair’s performance in coming sessions, as formation on bullish outside day on strong close today could generate strong bullish signal for extended recovery.
Also, any news released during the weekend, regarding US-China conflict could have strong impact on Monday’s opening.
Daily techs remain in firm bearish setup and signal a lot of work ahead for fresh Euro bulls in order to generate stronger bullish signal.
Thursday’s high at 1.2290 marks initial resistance, followed by more significant obstacles at 1.2315 (Fibo 38.2% of 1.2476/1.2215 / converged 10/20/30SMA’s), firm break of which would signal further recovery.
Conversely, rejection under 1.2315 would signal limited recovery and keep bearish bias in play.

Res: 1.2290; 1.2315; 1.2338; 1.2376
Sup: 1.2240; 1.2215; 1.2165; 1.2148