Bulls lose traction after weak data
The Euro eased from one-week high (1.2189) posted earlier on Friday, as weak EU PMI data soured near-term sentiment.
Today’s action probed above key Fibo barrier at 1.2166 (38.2% of 1.2349/1.2053) but need daily close above this level to confirm bullish stance and keep near-term focus at the upside.
Converged 30/20DMA’s (1.2190/93) which capped overnight advance, mark next pivotal points and break here would add to positive signals.
Failure to clear 1.2166 barrier would keep the downside vulnerable, with return and close below 10DMA (1.2136) to shift focus lower.
Daily studies remain mixed, as negative momentum is rising, stochastic is heading north and moving averages are in mixed setup, with initial direction signals expected on violation of pivotal support / resistance levels (1.2136 or 1.2190).
Key supports lay at 1.2090 (top of rising thick daily cloud), 1.2064 (Fibo 38.2% of 1.1602/1.2349) and 1.2053 (correction low posted on Jan 18), break of which would generate strong bearish signal.
Pivotal barriers lay at 1.2200 and 1.2236 (50% and 61.8% retracement of 1.2349/1.2053), with break here to accelerate bulls.
Res: 1.2190; 1.2200; 1.2236; 1.2279
Sup: 1.2151; 1.2136; 1.2090; 1.2064