Near-term action lacks clear direction, 1.1290 Fibo level remains key
The Euro is standing at the back foot in early Monday following last Friday’s nearly 1% bounce, driven by weaker dollar on month-end sales and increased pressure as US traders are back after Thanksgiving holiday pause.
Friday’s rebound resulted in Euro’s failure to register a weekly close below cracked key Fibo support at 1.1290 (61.8% of 1.0635/1.2349 rally) though, initial signal of formation of bear-trap and stronger rebound, is likely to be short-lived if the pair fails to sustain break above 1.1290 and register another daily close above this level.
Daily techs maintain strong negative momentum and MA’s in bearish setup, keeping the downside at risk.
Monday’s close below 1.1290 would signal that a brief correction might be over, however larger bears look for monthly close below the key Fibo level that would further weaken the structure and risk extension towards targets at 1.1040/00 (Fibo 76.4% / psychological).
Res: 1.1290; 1.1330; 1.1373; 1.1400
Sup: 1.1248; 1.1186; 1.1168; 1.1100