USDJPY – risk of extension to daily cloud top seen on break below double Fibo support; US jobs data eyed for signals

The pair is consolidating around 109 handle in early Friday’s trading after suffering strong losses previous day.
Thursday’s long bearish daily candle (the biggest one day loss since 22 Mar) weighs, as Doji reversal pattern was completed on daily chart.
Fresh weakness broke below 10SMA ( 109.26) and pressures double-Fibonacci support at 108.76/73 (Fibo 23.6% of 104.63/110.03 / Fibo 38.2% of 106.61/110.03, reinforced by 100SMA) break of which would generate strong bearish signal and risk extension towards daily cloud (108.05).
Failure to take out 108.76/73 pivots would keep the pair in extended consolidation range, while sustained break above 110 barrier and 200SMA (110.18) is needed to shift focus higher and signal continuation of broader uptrend from 104.63 (26 Mar).
US jobs data are key event for the dollar today. US jobs growth is expected to accelerate in April (NFP Apr f/c 189K vs 103K previous month); unemployment rate is expected to drop to multi-year low of 4%, while wage growth is expected to remain steady.
Solid jobs data today would add to positive sentiment among traders on expectations the Fed may hike interest rates more times than expected in 2018 and create more positive environment for the dollar.

Res: 109.26; 109.53; 109.88; 110.03
Sup: 108.93; 108.73; 108.32; 108.05