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WTI OIL – stronger direction signal expected on break of 20 or 10SMA

WTI oil price remains within two-week range and without clear direction, after repeated probes below range floor were contained by rising 20SMA, which marks initial support, currently at $67.08.
On the other side, recovery attempts stay capped by 10SMA ($67.99), keeping the price within narrowing congestion.
Much stronger than expected build of US crude stocks (6.21 million barrels vs 0.73 million barrels build f/c – EIA report on Wednesday) and US production hitting record high at 10.6 million barrels per day (the second highest world oil production after Russia) showed little impact on oil price, which stayed above key supports.
Daily techs remain in overall bullish setup, but continue to lose momentum, which keeps near-term risk skewed lower.
Clear break below 20SMA (also range floor) and Fibo support at $66.58 (38.2% of $61.80/$69.54) is needed to generate bearish signal for stronger correction.
Conversely, lift and close above 10SMA ($67.99) would ease pressure, but directionless mode is expected to remain in play while range tops at $69.50 zone stay intact.
Bullish scenario requires break above recent multi-year recovery high ($69.54) and psychological $70 barrier, to signal bullish continuation.

Res: 67.99; 68.26; 68.87; 69.32
Sup: 67.44; 67.08; 66.84; 66.58