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Euro collapses on downbeat German PMI data

 

The Euro fell across the board on Friday, smashed by downbeat German Manufacturing data which fell to 44.7 in Mar (the lowest in seven years) against forecast at 48.0 and 47.6 in Feb.
Further contraction in German Manufacturing gives strong signal of slowdown in Europe’s biggest economy that could spill over and impact other members of the bloc.
Fresh weakness hit two-week low at 1.1289 and fully reversed gains from Wednesday’s strong post-Fed rally, souring the sentiment and turning near-term bias to negative mode.
The pair holds strongly in red for the second day and breached a number of technical supports, as today’s bearish acceleration retraced nearly 61.8% of 1.1176/1.1448 recovery leg.
Thick 4-hr cloud (1.1308/1.1260) cushioned fall and consolidation could be expected as immediate reaction before bears resume.
Sustained break below 4-hr cloud and close below 1.1289 (Fibo 61.8% of 1.1176/1.1448) would signal an end of recovery phase from 1.1176 and expose supports at 1.1240/00 (Fibo 76.4% / psychological) with final push towards key supports at 1.1186/76 (Fibo 61.8% of 1.0340/1.2555 / 07 Mar low, the lowest since June 2017) not ruled out.
Broken converged 10/20 SMA’s offer immediate resistance at 1.1325, with extended upticks to be capped under broken Fibo support at 1.1344 (Fibo 38.2% of 1.1176/1.1448) to keep fresh bears in play.
Only return and close above converged 55/100SMA’s (1.1364) would neutralize bears.

Res: 1.1312; 1.1325; 1.1344; 1.1364
Sup: 1.1289; 1.1280; 1.1260; 1.1240