The dollar is set for weekly / monthly loss, deflated by fresh risk appetite
The US dollar is set for the second weekly loss and for more than 2% monthly fall in November, as investors migrate from safe-haven greenback into riskier assets on improved risk appetite.
Growing expectations that Covid-19 vaccine would be available soon and hopes for a smoother transition to a Biden administration, provide relief and keep the dollar under pressure.
The US Federal Reserve’s determination to remain in line with other major central banks and keep ultra-low interest rates for extended period, also adds to dollar-selling.
The dollar index, which tracks the performance of the greenback against the basket of major currencies, slipped to a near three-month low (Sep 1 low at 91.71) which marks key support and break here would trigger fresh acceleration towards targets at 90/88 zone.
Prolonged risk-on mode is expected to keep the dollar under pressure for some time, but looking at how economies have grown in third quarter and hopes that US economic rebound would further accelerate once the vaccine becomes available, would create a dollar-favorable environment.