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Lira’s fresh bearish pressure exposes all-time high and psychological 5.00 barrier

The Turkish lira came under increased pressure on Monday after new political turmoil over the weekend resulted in threats of US President Trump of imposing sanctions on Turkey.
The USDTRY pair probed above 4.90 barrier, hitting the highest since 24 July and increasing risk of re-visiting all time high at 4.9736 (12 July).
This would also expose psychological 5.00 barrier, violation of which would likely spark fresh bullish acceleration.
Scenario is supported by fresh political tensions as well as CBRT’s failure to increase interest rates in the latest meeting on 24 July, as double-digit inflation required adequate action and also raises questions about central bank’s independence in new presidential system which gives much bigger authorizations to the President.
In addition, daily / weekly technical studies in full bullish configuration, keep the pair well supported, with hawkish Fed later this week, expected to further boost the greenback.
Broken 10SMA marks initial support (4.8168) which should ideally protect the downside and keep intact next pivotal supports at 4.7825 (rising 20SMA) and 4.7344 (24 July trough).

Res: 4.9083; 4.9273; 4.9384; 4.9736
Sup: 4.8426; 4.8168; 4.8000; 4.7825